Hot take: Most humanoid demos are misleading
Almost every humanoid robot demo I see has the same problems:
- Perfect lighting. Flat floors. No obstacles.
- The robot does ONE task in isolation
- Convenient camera cuts right when something might go wrong
- No indication of how many takes it took
I watched that Tesla Optimus folding shirts video. Looked cool. Then you read that it was running at 1/10th speed and there was a person with a controller just off camera ready to intervene.
Or the new Neo release videos where it was basically all teloperated.
Or those warehouse demos where the robot picks up a box perfectly. Great. Now do it 500 times in a row. With boxes that aren't all identical. While someone walks past unexpectedly.
I'm not saying these robots aren't impressive. They are. But there's a massive gap between "works in a demo" and "works reliably in reality." And the marketing doesn't make that clear.
2 Replies
You're not wrong. The gap between demo and production is massive in robotics.
That said, I think some companies are more transparent than others. Figure's BMW footage looks more like actual work conditions than Tesla's carefully staged videos.
I get the skepticism but the progress year over year is real. Compare Atlas from 2020 to now - huge difference. The demos might be cherry-picked but the underlying capability is genuinely improving.